Ibarra vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
COT
0 - 1
UDI
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
UDI
1 - 2
VSB
36%
24%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 1
UDI
62%
21%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
UDI
2 - 0
ARU
57%
22%
22%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
UDI
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
UDS
2 - 0
CSU
62%
22%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 0
UDS
39%
27%
35%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
UDS
4 - 2
UNV
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LPA
3 - 0
UDS
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
COT
0 - 3
UDS
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |