Ibarra vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VSB
2 - 0
UDI
59%
22%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
UDI
5 - 0
UPR
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
UDI
2 - 1
LAN
37%
26%
37%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 2
UDI
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
UDI
1 - 2
UDL
50%
24%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
UDS
1 - 1
UDL
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CRU
0 - 3
UDS
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
UDS
3 - 1
DOR
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
UDB
1 - 2
UDS
15%
19%
65%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
UDS
1 - 0
TAH
71%
17%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |