Ibarra vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VSB
1 - 0
UDI
38%
25%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
UDI
5 - 0
YAI
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
SDT
3 - 1
UDI
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
UDI
1 - 0
CSU
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 2
UDI
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 1
CDT
38%
25%
38%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 2
LAN
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 0
UPR
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
VSB
0 - 2
LAN
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
LAN
2 - 0
YAI
48%
25%
28%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |