Ibarra vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
ARU
0 - 2
UDI
24%
25%
51%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
UDI
3 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VER
2 - 1
UDI
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
UDI
2 - 1
CDB
60%
21%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TEL
0 - 1
UDI
18%
23%
60%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
LAN
2 - 5
CSU
69%
18%
12%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 0
LAN
35%
27%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LAN
2 - 1
UNV
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
UDS
1 - 2
LAN
53%
24%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LAN
0 - 0
COT
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |