Ibarra vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAG
0 - 3
UDI
21%
24%
55%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
UDL
2 - 1
UDI
39%
26%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LPA
0 - 2
UDI
81%
14%
6%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
UDI
2 - 0
CRU
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
CSU
1 - 1
UDI
38%
26%
37%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 1
UDL
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CRU
0 - 1
LAN
17%
23%
60%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
YAI
0 - 0
LAN
32%
28%
40%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 0
CSU
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
TEL
1 - 1
LAN
47%
26%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |