Ibarra vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
UDI
3 - 1
UDI
43%
26%
31%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
UDI
1 - 0
UDO
33%
27%
40%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
COR
3 - 0
UDI
76%
17%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1995 |
UDI
3 - 2
RAF
61%
23%
16%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1995 |
ARG
4 - 1
UDI
44%
27%
29%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
LAN
0 - 0
VTZ
83%
12%
5%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
UDI
1 - 0
LAN
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
LAN
0 - 3
REA
11%
20%
69%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
LAG
3 - 2
LAN
72%
18%
11%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
LAN
1 - 0
SAL
39%
27%
34%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |