Ibarra vs Fuerteventura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
47.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
VSB
3 - 3
UDI
51%
25%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
UDI
2 - 2
CDM
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
DOR
1 - 0
UDI
41%
28%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
UDI
3 - 1
UNI
54%
25%
21%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
COM
3 - 2
UDI
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fuerteventura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
UDF
2 - 0
TEG
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 1
UDF
24%
26%
50%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
UDF
1 - 0
SDT
65%
20%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
CAG
2 - 0
UDF
27%
27%
47%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
UDF
2 - 1
LPA
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |