Ibarra vs UD Cruz Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
CSU
1 - 1
UDI
38%
26%
37%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
UDI
1 - 2
TEL
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
UNV
4 - 2
UDI
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UDI
1 - 0
COT
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
UDI
2 - 0
YAI
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
UD Cruz Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CRU
1 - 0
UDL
16%
21%
63%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CAG
1 - 1
CRU
69%
18%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CSU
2 - 0
CRU
71%
18%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CRU
0 - 2
TEL
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CRU
0 - 1
COT
22%
22%
56%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |