Ibarra vs Tijarafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
UDL
1 - 1
UDI
61%
22%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
UDI
0 - 1
CAG
36%
25%
40%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
3 - 0
UDI
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
UDI
4 - 2
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
UDI
2 - 2
CDT
29%
29%
42%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tijarafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
UDT
1 - 1
RSI
33%
26%
41%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
YAI
2 - 4
UDT
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
UDT
2 - 2
TEG
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
GAL
1 - 1
UDT
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
HUR
2 - 1
UDT
39%
27%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |