Ibarra vs Teguise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
GAL
2 - 0
UDI
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
UDI
1 - 0
UNI
54%
24%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
TEL
1 - 1
UDI
45%
27%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
UDI
3 - 3
COM
29%
28%
43%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 2
UDI
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Teguise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
TEG
2 - 1
UNI
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
COM
2 - 2
TEG
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
TEG
0 - 0
LPA
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
CDL
3 - 2
TEG
54%
24%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
TEG
3 - 3
SDT
43%
25%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |