Ibarra vs Realejos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
UDI
0 - 0
HUR
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
TEG
1 - 1
UDI
31%
27%
42%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
UDI
3 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
SDT
3 - 2
UDI
73%
17%
10%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
UDI
2 - 4
VSB
39%
28%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Realejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
REA
4 - 2
TEG
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
UNI
3 - 1
REA
44%
24%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
REA
2 - 1
SDT
20%
25%
55%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
CAG
0 - 1
REA
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
CDO
4 - 3
REA
31%
26%
43%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |