Ibarra vs Orotava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
UDN
0 - 1
UDI
39%
25%
36%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
UDI
0 - 0
BRE
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
UDI
1 - 1
CDS
41%
25%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
UDI
1 - 0
UDI
33%
25%
42%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
UDI
1 - 0
CDP
52%
23%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Orotava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
UDO
2 - 1
RUN
66%
19%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 0
UDO
24%
24%
52%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
UDO
0 - 3
CDT
28%
25%
47%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 1
UDO
22%
23%
55%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
UDO
0 - 2
IGA
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |