Ibarra vs Orotava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orotava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1986 |
ATL
3 - 0
UDO
76%
16%
9%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
UDI
3 - 2
UDO
63%
22%
15%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
UDO
0 - 0
CDM
49%
27%
24%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
CDT
1 - 2
UDO
57%
23%
20%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1986 |
UDO
2 - 0
CDS
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |