Ibarra vs Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 2
UDI
24%
21%
55%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
UDI
1 - 1
CDT
7%
15%
79%
|
33 | 76 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
TRO
3 - 1
UDI
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
UDI
1 - 0
TRO
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
UDS
2 - 2
UDI
45%
26%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
CDT
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 4
CDT
6%
14%
80%
|
28 | 76 | 48 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
EST
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
UPR
3 - 0
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
PAN
46%
23%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |