Ibarra vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
UPR
2 - 0
UDI
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
UDI
1 - 1
PAN
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
YAI
1 - 1
UDI
33%
26%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
UDI
1 - 0
CDT
48%
24%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
UDI
1 - 1
LPA
14%
21%
66%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
EST
3 - 1
CSU
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 0
EST
55%
24%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
EST
4 - 1
UNV
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
UDS
1 - 0
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
EST
0 - 4
COT
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |