Ibarra vs CD Santa Úrsula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 2
UDI
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
UDI
1 - 1
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 2
UDI
24%
21%
55%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
UDI
1 - 1
CDT
7%
15%
79%
|
33 | 76 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
TRO
3 - 1
UDI
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
CD Santa Úrsula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
CSU
1 - 1
CDT
31%
25%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
UDL
4 - 1
CSU
51%
24%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CSU
2 - 1
UPR
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
UNV
1 - 4
CSU
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CSU
3 - 2
UDS
30%
26%
44%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |