Ibarra vs El Cotillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
UNV
1 - 0
UDI
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
UDI
2 - 1
LAN
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SDT
0 - 1
UDI
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
UDI
0 - 0
CDB
72%
17%
12%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
UDL
0 - 0
UDI
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
COT
0 - 1
CSU
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CDT
1 - 0
COT
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
COT
1 - 4
TAM
23%
21%
56%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
VSB
1 - 1
COT
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
COT
1 - 1
UPR
45%
25%
31%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |