Ibarra vs El Cotillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
UDI
2 - 0
YAI
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SDT
1 - 0
UDI
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
UDI
7 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
18%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CDT
1 - 3
UDI
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
UDI
3 - 3
VER
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CRU
0 - 1
COT
22%
22%
56%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
COT
1 - 1
CSU
50%
25%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TEL
4 - 2
COT
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
COT
1 - 0
UNV
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAG
2 - 2
COT
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |