Ibarra vs El Cotillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
VSB
2 - 1
UDI
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
UDI
0 - 0
LAN
40%
26%
34%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
VEC
5 - 0
UDI
73%
17%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CDM
3 - 1
UDI
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
UDI
1 - 3
CAG
21%
25%
55%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
UDL
2 - 1
COT
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
COT
3 - 1
VSB
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +3 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
COT
0 - 1
YAI
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
LAN
3 - 1
COT
61%
20%
18%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
COT
0 - 1
EST
31%
25%
45%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |