Ibar Rozaje vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibar Rozaje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
IBA
5 - 2
BER
36%
27%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
IBA
0 - 2
BOK
27%
27%
46%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ZAB
1 - 1
IBA
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
IBA
0 - 0
JEZ
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
IKD
1 - 1
IBA
42%
26%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FKA
3 - 3
IGA
28%
27%
45%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BER
1 - 2
FKA
69%
20%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FKA
0 - 3
FKZ
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BOK
2 - 0
FKA
69%
20%
11%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FKA
0 - 1
BRA
30%
28%
42%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |