Ibach vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
WIL
1 - 1
IBA
62%
18%
20%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
LUG
3 - 1
IBA
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
IBA
3 - 3
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
IBA
2 - 1
TAV
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
IBA
3 - 1
PER
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SAR
2 - 1
TAV
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 0
PER
34%
22%
45%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
SAR
0 - 1
FCS
22%
22%
57%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
LUZ
2 - 3
SAR
65%
19%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SAR
3 - 2
ESC
39%
23%
37%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |