Ibach vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
IBA
0 - 0
ESC
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LOC
2 - 2
IBA
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
IBA
2 - 1
HOC
71%
18%
12%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 1
IBA
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
IBA
2 - 0
GOL
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 2
HER
24%
21%
55%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TAV
6 - 0
SAR
63%
21%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 0
LUG
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
ESC
2 - 3
SAR
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SAR
3 - 2
LOC
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |