Ibach vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
IBA
1 - 2
ASC
38%
24%
38%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FCC
2 - 1
IBA
37%
24%
40%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
IBA
3 - 1
FCS
74%
15%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 3
IBA
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
IBA
7 - 5
GOL
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MEN
1 - 1
FCC
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FCS
1 - 4
MEN
14%
20%
66%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
MEN
3 - 4
NOV
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
EMM
2 - 0
MEN
45%
23%
33%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GOL
0 - 1
MEN
47%
23%
31%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |