Ibach vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
IBA
2 - 3
HER
29%
23%
48%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TAV
2 - 1
IBA
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 0
SAR
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
IBA
0 - 0
ESC
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LOC
2 - 2
IBA
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
4 - 1
FCA
59%
19%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HER
0 - 0
LUG
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 4
GOL
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
TAV
0 - 2
LUG
59%
22%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 1
PER
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |