Ibach vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
IBA
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
IBA
1 - 1
HOC
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
TEA
1 - 1
IBA
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
IBA
4 - 2
CAS
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
KUS
1 - 4
IBA
24%
22%
54%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LUZ
0 - 2
BEL
7%
17%
76%
|
17 | 66 | 49 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
HER
3 - 2
LUZ
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LUZ
1 - 1
WIL
35%
22%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
HOC
0 - 0
LUZ
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LUZ
1 - 5
ASC
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |