Ibach vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
TEA
4 - 2
IBA
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
IBA
2 - 2
BRU
63%
20%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LUZ
1 - 2
IBA
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
IBA
3 - 1
FCS
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
SAR
0 - 0
IBA
18%
21%
61%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
HER
0 - 3
TAV
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FCC
1 - 4
HER
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
HER
2 - 2
PER
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
EMM
0 - 1
HER
49%
20%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HER
2 - 2
MEN
40%
24%
35%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |