Ibach vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
EMM
4 - 0
IBA
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
IBA
2 - 0
FCC
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
IBA
0 - 0
FCS
33%
24%
43%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
PER
5 - 1
IBA
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
PER
1 - 1
IBA
45%
22%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
HER
0 - 5
RTK
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
TAV
2 - 0
HER
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
HER
0 - 3
MEN
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
FCA
3 - 1
HER
37%
21%
43%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
HER
1 - 2
WIL
67%
17%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |