Ibach vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2017 |
HOC
1 - 0
IBA
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
IBA
1 - 1
BRU
53%
22%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
IBA
2 - 2
VED
55%
22%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ASC
1 - 3
IBA
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ESC
0 - 0
IBA
20%
23%
57%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
LUG
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
LUZ
4 - 2
HER
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
HER
1 - 2
TAV
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
PER
0 - 6
HER
20%
18%
61%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 5
HER
17%
18%
65%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |