Ibach vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
52.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
BUO
1 - 3
IBA
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
IBA
1 - 2
TAV
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
RUS
2 - 2
IBA
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
IBA
6 - 1
GCB
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 2
IBA
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
HER
3 - 2
GOL
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ESC
1 - 2
HER
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
HER
0 - 2
SAR
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 5
HER
18%
19%
63%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HER
3 - 2
GUN
57%
21%
23%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |