Ibach vs FC Brugg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SAR
1 - 1
IBA
23%
24%
53%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
IBA
0 - 1
MAL
15%
23%
62%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
LSS
0 - 2
IBA
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
IBA
0 - 1
KUS
68%
19%
14%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
IBA
2 - 2
SAR
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Brugg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
FCB
1 - 4
BUO
15%
21%
64%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
FCB
0 - 4
LUG
15%
21%
65%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SAR
4 - 0
FCB
41%
24%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
FCB
1 - 2
MAL
12%
21%
67%
|
17 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
LSS
8 - 0
FCB
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |