Ibach vs Aegeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 1
IBA
51%
20%
28%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
IBA
5 - 3
NOV
24%
21%
55%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BRU
1 - 3
IBA
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
IBA
1 - 1
SAR
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
LUZ
1 - 2
IBA
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FCA
1 - 1
RTK
10%
15%
75%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
TAV
3 - 1
FCA
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FCA
0 - 2
MEN
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCA
62%
18%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FCA
0 - 4
NOV
44%
22%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |