Ibach vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FCC
2 - 1
IBA
37%
24%
40%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
IBA
3 - 1
FCS
74%
15%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 3
IBA
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
IBA
7 - 5
GOL
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LUZ
1 - 0
IBA
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ASC
1 - 0
HER
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FCC
0 - 2
ASC
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ASC
4 - 3
EMM
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FCS
0 - 5
ASC
27%
22%
51%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ASC
2 - 3
TAV
26%
23%
51%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |