Ibach vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 2
IBA
28%
25%
47%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 1
IBA
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
IBA
1 - 1
TAV
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
IBA
1 - 1
LUZ
77%
16%
8%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
IBA
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ASC
0 - 3
TEA
39%
23%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 1
HER
46%
21%
32%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HOC
1 - 1
ASC
28%
23%
50%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 2
WIL
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ASC
0 - 0
CAS
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |