Ibach vs AS Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
KUS
1 - 4
IBA
24%
22%
54%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
IBA
2 - 0
GOL
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 0
IBA
84%
12%
4%
|
28 | 67 | 39 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
IBA
2 - 0
WIL
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ASC
0 - 0
IBA
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
HER
44%
22%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HOC
1 - 2
CAS
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
TEA
38%
23%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
LUZ
69%
18%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
KUS
1 - 4
CAS
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |