Ibach vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 4
IBA
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
IBA
3 - 1
LUZ
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
IBA
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
IBA
2 - 0
FCS
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
EMM
1 - 1
IBA
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
AAR
5 - 0
TAV
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 6
AAR
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
AAR
2 - 3
GOL
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
2 - 0
AAR
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AAR
5 - 1
BAL
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |