Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 2-4
ÍA Akranes vs FC Honka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ÍA Akranes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
IAA
2 - 5
FHH
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
BRE
6 - 1
IAA
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
HON
3 - 0
IAA
55%
23%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
FJO
2 - 0
IAA
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2008 |
IAA
1 - 2
GRI
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Honka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
MYP
0 - 2
HON
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
HON
2 - 0
IFK
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
HON
3 - 0
IAA
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
TAM
1 - 2
HON
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
HON
1 - 1
INT
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |