Yuen Long vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
6º
3º
27
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 39 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
79.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yuen Long
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HVA
1 - 1
ISK
20%
22%
59%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ISK
3 - 1
SHA
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KWL
2 - 1
ISK
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CWD
2 - 2
ISK
21%
23%
57%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ISK
2 - 1
WIN
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAA
1 - 1
SCA
21%
21%
57%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CAA
1 - 1
WON
76%
14%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAA
5 - 1
KWA
54%
20%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
EAD
1 - 3
CAA
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAA
2 - 2
HOI
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |