Yuen Long vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yuen Long
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ISK
3 - 3
YOK
83%
12%
6%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
WTP
2 - 2
ISK
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 2
ISK
37%
23%
40%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ISK
3 - 0
CWD
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SHA
4 - 1
ISK
17%
21%
62%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CWD
1 - 2
CAA
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAA
0 - 2
SCA
50%
22%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
CAA
3 - 1
EAD
31%
23%
46%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +3 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
HON
3 - 0
CAA
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CAA
4 - 2
WON
53%
21%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |