I'Gara vs UD Cruz Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
70%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
I'Gara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
CDP
7 - 0
IGA
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
IGA
4 - 1
UDF
51%
20%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
IGA
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
IGA
1 - 1
FLO
14%
18%
69%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 2
IGA
74%
15%
11%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
UD Cruz Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 2
SLC
41%
26%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
UDO
1 - 1
CRU
35%
25%
40%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 1
UDI
48%
25%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 1
CRU
33%
24%
43%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CRU
2 - 1
CAG
62%
22%
16%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |