HZVV vs Apeldoorn CSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
40.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
9º
16º
16º
29
6º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
|
15º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HZVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
DET
1 - 0
HZV
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HZV
1 - 4
HUI
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 1
HZV
74%
16%
11%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DHS
4 - 0
HZV
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HZV
1 - 1
FLE
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Apeldoorn CSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
APE
2 - 0
DHS
31%
23%
47%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FLE
2 - 1
APE
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
APE
0 - 3
OLD
46%
22%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
APE
2 - 2
GEN
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
HED
2 - 2
APE
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |