Hyères vs Marignane Gignac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
6º
15º
9º
56
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hyères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HYE
2 - 2
FCA
57%
24%
20%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 4
HYE
56%
25%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAI
0 - 1
HYE
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HYE
0 - 1
OLY
42%
28%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CSL
3 - 0
HYE
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Marignane Gignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MGG
1 - 1
AUX
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MGG
0 - 0
AUB
43%
28%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LYO
2 - 0
MGG
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MGG
2 - 0
SÈT
18%
25%
57%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 1
MGG
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |