Hyères vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
8º
6º
52
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hyères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
HYE
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HYE
4 - 1
BOU
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CMN
0 - 0
HYE
13%
18%
69%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TOU
1 - 1
HYE
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HYE
1 - 1
CHA
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
AUB
0 - 0
LPV
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
AUB
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
THO
2 - 2
AUB
39%
24%
38%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
AUB
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AUB
3 - 0
GRA
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |