Hwaseong vs Yeoju Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HWA
1 - 0
YAN
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
POC
0 - 0
HWA
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
HWA
5 - 2
BUS
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PAJ
0 - 2
HWA
30%
27%
42%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
HWA
2 - 2
DAE
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Yeoju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
YES
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
YES
3 - 4
GAN
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
GYE
0 - 2
YES
61%
24%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
YES
1 - 0
CHU
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SIH
4 - 1
YES
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |