Hwaseong vs Pyeongtaek Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
YAN
0 - 3
HWA
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
CHE
3 - 3
HWA
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 1
HWA
21%
23%
57%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
HWA
1 - 0
GAN
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BUS
1 - 1
HWA
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pyeongtaek Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PAJ
2 - 1
PCF
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
CHE
2 - 1
PCF
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
PCF
0 - 8
SAN
4%
9%
88%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
DAE
0 - 0
PCF
75%
17%
9%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
GYE
3 - 2
PCF
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |