Hwaseong vs Mokpo City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
YES
0 - 0
HWA
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
YAN
2 - 1
HWA
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HWA
1 - 4
POC
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
GAN
3 - 1
HWA
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BUS
1 - 3
HWA
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mokpo City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 0
MOK
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MOK
1 - 1
GAN
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GYE
2 - 0
MOK
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
MOK
1 - 2
BUC
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MOK
2 - 2
CHU
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |