Hwaseong vs Gyeongju Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
MOK
1 - 0
HWA
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
HWA
1 - 0
GIM
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
HWA
1 - 0
PCF
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
YAN
0 - 3
HWA
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
CHE
3 - 3
HWA
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gyeongju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
GYE
4 - 2
PAJ
32%
27%
41%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 2
GYE
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
GYE
1 - 1
DAE
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
GYE
0 - 0
GIM
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
GYE
2 - 0
MOK
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |