Hwaseong vs Jeonnam Dragons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
45.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
13º
10º
37
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 85 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 81 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 69 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 69 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 60 |
5º
|
53.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 55 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 52 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 51 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 45 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 41 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 39 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 38 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 36 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 89% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
HWA
0 - 1
INC
23%
27%
50%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ANG
3 - 3
HWA
29%
26%
46%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
HWA
1 - 0
JCI
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
HWA
2 - 1
CHE
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
HWA
1 - 1
GYE
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jeonnam Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BUS
0 - 1
CDR
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SUW
2 - 1
CDR
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SJS
3 - 1
CDR
2%
6%
92%
|
74 | 11 | 63 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
GYE
2 - 2
CDR
32%
25%
42%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ANG
0 - 1
CDR
20%
23%
57%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |