Hwaseong vs Bucheon FC 1995 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
47.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
13º
10º
38
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 85 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 81 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 69 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 69 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 60 |
5º
|
53.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 55 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 52 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 51 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 45 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 41 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 39 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 38 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 36 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 82.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
HWA
1 - 0
SEO
44%
27%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
INC
2 - 0
HWA
65%
23%
12%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
HWA
0 - 0
ANG
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
GYE
0 - 1
HWA
48%
24%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
CDR
3 - 2
HWA
62%
21%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bucheon FC 1995
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
GIM
1 - 3
BUC
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
BUC
2 - 0
GYE
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
ANG
0 - 1
BUC
25%
26%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
BUC
3 - 1
ELA
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
INC
1 - 0
BUC
50%
27%
23%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |