Hwange vs Black Mambas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hwange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 2
HWA
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
HWA
2 - 0
SHA
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TRI
2 - 2
HWA
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
HWA
4 - 2
DYN
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TRI
1 - 1
HWA
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Black Mambas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BLA
4 - 1
CAP
52%
26%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 1
BLA
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BLA
1 - 1
MOT
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BLA
0 - 0
BLA
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
BLA
0 - 1
BUF
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |