HVV vs VUC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PAP
2 - 3
HVV
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
NIE
1 - 0
HVV
72%
16%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 1
HVV
67%
19%
15%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
UVS
7 - 2
HVV
72%
17%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
HVV
1 - 1
VEL
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
VUC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VUC
1 - 1
UVS
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VEL
4 - 0
VUC
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
FCB
3 - 1
VUC
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VUC
1 - 2
PAN
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 0
VUC
57%
22%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |